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Currencies

Bank of Canada: Stuck The Landing, Now Weighing Impacts Of Trade War
The Bank of Canada cut by 25 bps to 3% as expected, and announced the end of quantitative tightening. This sixth consecutive cut brings the policy rate further into neutral territory, estimated to be in the 2.25%-to-3.25% range.  The BoC assessed…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
Lacking Conviction

Global risk assets are engulfed in a wave of euphoria, which is pulling Europe higher along the way. However, risks still abound. How should investors adjust their allocation to Europe under these highly uncertain conditions?
 

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary
Where Next For The Dollar?: Echoes From Australia
Our Foreign Exchange strategists recently provided an update on their US and Australian dollar views. The US dollar remains overbought and may continue rising as a momentum currency, but cyclical indicators suggest a capitulation phase. Our FX team…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
A Cross-Asset Volatility Tour
Despite the choppy price action of the last few weeks, equity sentiment remains elevated. Surveys of investor sentiment remain at the top end of the bullish spectrum, and the S&P 500 is trading over 22x forward earnings, levels only seen in the…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
Are We Nearing CAD Capitulation?
Until recently, Canada had been flying under the radar, yet it presents an interesting macro case. The Bank of Canada hiked rates in lockstep with the Fed, but it began cutting earlier due to a more fragile Canadian economy. Domestic and international…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
UK: Cooling Employment Will Contain Inflation
November/December UK employment data was mixed. The November unemployment rate rose 0.1% to 4.4%, in line with expectations. Payrolled employees decreased faster than expected at a 47k pace in December, surpassing the 35k contraction in November. However,…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
Canada: Cool CPI, Heated Tariffs Rhetoric
The December Canadian CPI was roughly in line with estimates, with headline inflation ticking down to 1.8% y/y from 1.9% in November. The BoC’s core inflation measures, median and trim, also decreased from 2.6% to 2.4% and 2.5%,…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
Get Ready For Bessenomics
Our Emerging Markets strategists put together a hypothetical conversation between President Trump and Treasury Secretary nominee Scott Bessent on what economic policy would look like for the Trump 2.0 administration.  Secretary Bessent is expected…
Daily Insights by Felix Vezina-Poirier
How Bessenomics Was Born
Special Report

There is no better way to gauge the macro policies of the new US administration than being privy to President Donald Trump’s discussions with the new Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent. While we do not have inside information, we have put the pieces of the puzzle together to help clients see the big picture. This report presents our take on a hypothetical conversation between President Trump and Scott Bessent that led to the latter’s appointment as Treasury secretary.

BCA Special Reports, Emerging Markets Strategy, GeoMacro Strategy by Arthur Budaghyan
Trump Day One: Threats And Opportunities For Europe

President Trump is about to be inaugurated. Investors often assume all his policies will hurt Europe, but the reality is more nuanced.

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary

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