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Developed Countries

BCA Research’s US Equity Strategy service is overweight credit card companies, but only over a short investment horizon. All of the largest credit card processing companies, such as Visa, Mastercard, and American Express, have delivered strong Q3-22 sales…
Euro Area industrial production expanded by 4.9% y/y in September, following an upwardly revised 2.8% y/y and beating expectations of a 3.0% y/y increase. Similarly, the 0.9% m/m increase also exceeded consensus estimates of 0.5% m/m. Higher production of…
Results from the New York Fed’s October Survey of Consumer Expectations underscore that the Fed still has its work cut out for it. Household inflation expectations rebounded with median one-year-ahead expectations increasing from 5.4% to 5.9%,…
According to BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service, although the decline in US CPI is a tailwind for European stocks, strong rallies are premature. Chinese growth shows no sign of improvement. Similarly, the collapse in the global PMI’s new…

In this report we scrutinize the state of US consumer finances, which are a key driver of the Payment Processing Industry. We expect demand for services to pull back in the early 2023 on the back of still high inflation and tighter monetary policy. The payment processing companies thrive but live on borrowed time. We are overweight for now but monitor this position closely.

The decline in the US CPI is a tailwind for European stocks, but does it compensate for weaker global growth?

In this report, we identify the Norwegian krone as a currency that could outperform especially at the crosses, irrespective of the broad dollar trend.

Special Report

Stocks will only get temporary relief from gridlock. Inflation will abate but then remain sticky. US and global policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk will remain historically high.

Special Report

Stocks will only get temporary relief from gridlock. Inflation will abate but then remain sticky. US and global policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk will remain historically high.

A client concerned about the slump in asset prices, the stubbornness of inflation, and rising bond yields asks what went wrong, and what happens next? This report is the full transcript of our conversation.