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Highlights Asset allocation: Start 2019 with an overweight to industrial commodities versus equities. Await an oversold sell-off signal on the 65-day fractal dimension to go tactically overweight equities versus cash. Equities: Start…
Special Report We downgraded global equities this summer based on lofty valuations, overly bullish sentiment, and the prospect of slowing global growth. Since then, valuations have improved, sentiment has turned more cautious, and while global growth…
Special Report We downgraded global equities this summer based on lofty valuations, overly bullish sentiment, and the prospect of slowing global growth. Since then, valuations have improved, sentiment has turned more cautious, and while global growth…
Highlights Dear Client, This is the final Global Fixed Income Strategy report for 2018. We will return with our first report of the new year on January 8th, 2019. Our entire team wishes you a very happy holiday season and a prosperous…
Highlights Portfolio Strategy The drubbing in the S&P semi equipment index is overdone and even a modest improvement on either the trade policy, industry demand or currency fronts could result in a reflex rebound, warranting an…
Special Report Highlights Below-Benchmark Duration: Below-benchmark duration positions will continue to pay off in 2019 as the Fed delivers more than the 32 bps of rate hikes that are priced into the curve for the next 12 months. While tighter…
Highlights Our take on the key macro drivers of financial markets hasn’t evolved much since we laid it out this summer, … : Monetary policy is still accommodative; lenders are ready, willing and able; and the expansion…
Highlights The dollar will continue to rally despite the trade truce agreed upon last weekend between U.S. President Donald Trump and China President Xi Jinping. Not only is this truce far from a permanent deal, but global growth…
Highlights Chart 1Looking For Peak Credit Spreads    The sell-off in spread product continued through November, driven by that toxic combination of weakening global growth and tightening Fed policy. With spreads now looking…
GAA DM Equity Country Allocation Model Update The GAA DM Equity Country Allocation model is updated as of November 30, 2018.  The quant model further downgraded U.S. in favor of the non-U.S. block, especially Germany, the…