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Germany

German Factory Orders Disappoint
ed on Thursday. The month-on-month contraction deepened to 1.6% in June from a contraction of 0.6% in May, revised down from the previously reported 0.2%, well below expectations of a modest 0.5% expansion. Indeed, Germany confronts material headwinds. …
Daily Insights
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The Best Possible World For European Stocks?

Does the incipient slowdown in European data herald a soft landing and a goldilocks period for equities? We have our doubts.

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary
German IFO Surprises To Downside
According to the results of the latest German IFO survey, overall sentiment deteriorated slightly in June. The IFO Business Climate index declined from 89.3 in May to 88.6 in June, disappointing expectations of a modest amelioration to 89.6.  The IFO…
Daily Insights
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Too Late To Sell France?

European assets are selling off as investors panic about the upcoming French election. Is this panic justified, and if so, for how long?

European Investment Strategy, Geopolitical Strategy by Mathieu Savary, Jeremie Peloso
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Where To Find Value In DM Government Bonds
Special Report

In this Special Report we assess the absolute and relative attractiveness of developed market government bonds using several fair value models. Longer-term investors who are focused on value should overweight US long-maturity bonds, and favor Spanish, Australian, and potentially UK government bonds within a DM ex-US allocation.

Global Fixed Income Strategy by Jonathan LaBerge
Near-term Rangebound Bund, But Cyclically Bullish
According to BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service, the domestic picture indicates that Bund yields will stay rangebound over the next few months due to the tug-of-war between bond bullish and bond bearish forces in Europe. For now, the…
Daily Insights
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Bunds In A Bind

German Bunds have cheapened considerably, and the ECB is about to start cutting rates. Does this combination guarantee immediate profits from buying these bonds?

European Investment Strategy, Global Fixed Income Strategy by Mathieu Savary
German Inflation Continues To Show Some Strength
A few preliminary measures of German inflation for April were released on Monday. The month-on-month headline inflation measure came in at 0.5% an increase from last month’s reading of 0.4% but below expectations of 0.6%. Meanwhile the year-on-year version…
Daily Insights
A German Recovery?
Results of Germany’s IFO business climate survey for April sent a positive message on Tuesday. The overall Business Climate Index increased from 87.9 to 89.4, beating expectations of 88.9. Assessments of both the current business situation (increased from…
Daily Insights
ZEW Expectations Reaches 26-Month High
Optimism about the future continues to boost investor confidence in the Euro Area.  The ZEW Expectations series for the Eurozone (+10.4 to 43.9) and Germany (+11.2 to 42.9) surged and are now both at their highest in 26 months. Although investors’…
Daily Insights

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