Flash PMIs for November extended recent global growth trends. US growth is holding up despite an ailing manufacturing sector, while the rest of the world shows deteriorating weak growth. The US composite beat expectations and…
As talks of a market “meltup” abound, we used last Friday’s edition of our BCA Live & Unfiltered meeting to assess our asset allocation recommendations. Our House View has been underweight equities since…
Chinese activity indicators showed resilience in October, with retail sales jumping from 3.2% to 4.8% y/y. Industrial production growth was roughly unchanged at 5.3% y/y. New and used home prices keep falling, albeit at a slower…
October retail sales beat expectations, printing 0.4% m/m on top of positive revisions for September. However, the numbers were weaker when adjusting for autos or other volatile components, with the control group declining 0.1%…
Economic expectations for Germany and the Eurozone disappointed, with the November ZEW decreasing to 12.5 from 20.1. The assessment of current conditions also worsened, implying the sentiment rebound from September will not be…
The October global manufacturing PMI printed at 49.4, up from 48.7 in September but still in contractionary territory. While output stabilized at 50.1, new orders (48.8) and new export orders (48.3) remain in contraction, as is…
China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI rebounded one point in October to 50.3. This was in line with the NBS PMIs from earlier this week, which also showed a modest rebound. We are looking for a turning point in China as the…
The October ISM Manufacturing missed expectations, decreasing to 46.5 from 47.2 in September. The Prices Paid component jumped, rising to 54.8 from 48.3 the month prior. New Orders showed a small upside surprise at 47.1, up 1…
As the odds of a Trump victory rise, European assets underperform US ones. What would be the immediate impact of a Trump victory on European stocks?