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  Preliminary estimates suggests that the Swedish economy unexpectedly contracted in Q2. The seasonally adjusted GDP Indicator declined by 0.8% q/q, following a 0.7% Q1 rise in actual GDP growth. Flash estimates lack details and…
In this week's report, we review the impact of political developments, as well as incoming fundamental data, on our positioning.
  According to BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange Strategy service, the improvement in global economic data will put some upward pressure on yields while pressuring the dollar lower (as a counter-cyclical currency). When it…
In this report, we review our trade recommendations based on incoming data in the last month.
  In a widely expected move, the Riksbank cut its policy rate by 25 basis points on Wednesday from 4% to 3.75%. The policy statement highlighted that inflation is approaching its 2% target, that leading indicators are pointing to…
Special Report The UK labor market remains far too tight to expect wage growth to slow to levels consistent with the Bank of England inflation target. A true recession with rising unemployment is needed to finally slay the UK inflation beast. 2024…
In this report, we review what our technical indicators are telling us about the G10 currencies.
  Headline inflation in Sweden came in at 4.1% in March. Lower food prices as well as lower inflation for recreation and culture were the main contributors to the drop. The biggest positive contributor was housing due to higher…
In this report, we review our trade recommendations based on incoming data in the last month.
  The Swedish krona was among the weakest G10 currencies on Wednesday following the Riksbank meeting. Although the central bank kept the benchmark rate unchanged as expected, the post-meeting communication was on the dovish side.…