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Trump Versus Macro
Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for July 2024.
US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift, Robert Timper
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Quarterly Portfolio Outlook: Recession Signs Increase
Concerns about the global economy have shifted from sticky inflation to faltering growth. Tight monetary policy is finally starting to bite. We suggest increasing portfolio defensiveness.
Global Asset Allocation by Garry Evans
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Should A Wise Investor Choose A Treasury, Corporate Bond Or MBS?
Special Report We consider the relative merits of four different fixed income investments in the current economic environment: 2-year Treasuries, 10-year Treasuries, Baa-rated corporate bonds and current coupon Agency MBS.
US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
MBS Spreads Have Room To Tighten
  According to BCA Research’s US Bond Strategy service, Mortgage-Backed Securities are currently priced below fair value. Mortgage-Backed Securities outperformed the duration-equivalent Treasury index by 49 basis points in…
Daily Insights
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Looking For Two Cuts This Year
Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for June 2024.
US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
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Where To Find Value In DM Government Bonds
Special Report In this Special Report we assess the absolute and relative attractiveness of developed market government bonds using several fair value models. Longer-term investors who are focused on value should overweight US long-maturity bonds,…
Global Fixed Income Strategy by Jonathan LaBerge
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Bunds In A Bind
German Bunds have cheapened considerably, and the ECB is about to start cutting rates. Does this combination guarantee immediate profits from buying these bonds?
European Investment Strategy, Global Fixed Income Strategy by Mathieu Savary
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Four Contentious Claims
In this week’s report, we defend four out-of-consensus claims. Claim #1: Underlying inflation in the US is not reaccelerating. Claim #2: The US labor market is set to weaken abruptly. Claim #3: The S&P 500 will drop to 3700 in…
Global Investment Strategy by Peter Berezin
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Timing The Breakout In Bond Yields
Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for May 2024.
US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
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Peak Divergence
Investors anticipate a record growth gap between the US and the Eurozone in 2024. Does this skewed expectation create market opportunities?
European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary

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Corporate Bonds Gov Agencies Gov Local Authorities Gov Sovereigns/Treasurys Inflation Protected Investment Grade Munis/S&L tax exempt Securitized Products