Insights

This year’s corporate bond sell off has hit high-yield more than investment grade, and high-yield spreads have turned relatively more attractive as a result....

If Trump’s tariffs are ‘America's Brexit’, then UK gilts will recoup ten years of underperformance versus US T-bonds. Meanwhile, as the AI bubble fully deflates, Europe’s stock market valuation versus the US will rerate by about 25 percent. The big ‘currency’ winner of the structural exodus from the...

If Trump’s tariffs are ‘America's Brexit’, then UK gilts will recoup ten years of underperformance versus US T-bonds. Meanwhile, as the AI bubble fully deflates, Europe’s stock market valuation versus the US will rerate by about 25 percent. The big ‘currency’ winner of the structural exodus from the...

Despite marginal de-escalation in tariffs between the US and China, a sustainable trade agreement remains elusive. In the meantime, economic damage continues to mount, and Chinese equities have yet to fully price in the tariff-induced growth deterioration. ...

While most investors spent the month of April frantically refreshing their Twitter feeds for the next tariff announcement, we reiterate our stance that details on tariffs should be left to day traders. Long-term investors should be focused on the bigger story: the triple selloff in US stocks, bonds ...

MacroQuant sees the risks to US growth as being to the downside and the risks to inflation as being to the upside. Such a stagflationary brew justifies an underweight on stocks....

MacroQuant sees the risks to US growth as being to the downside and the risks to inflation as being to the upside. Such a stagflationary brew justifies an underweight on stocks....

The US and Canada will resolve their trade dispute quickly, leading to a North American deal and better prospects for future relations, as well as for other US trade deals around the world. But even as tariff threats decline, the US economy will slow, weighing on its neighbors. Canada will fare bett...

The US will continue to lead global trade, but the past winners from China-US tensions face decline. Reglobalization is underway. India Port Infrastructure will be a long-term winner....

We are closing our tactical long position in the S&P 500 that we initiated on April 8th at a S&P 500 index level of 4983 in the report Tactical Buy Triggers Activated | BCA Research....