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Report
Our bullish gold, copper and oil calls have played out as expected, with gains of 14%, 11% and 16% since the beginning of the year. In this risk assessment of our views, we conclude the bull trends driving these markets higher remain intact. However, the risks of central-bank policy errors, resource...
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Report
Gold and bitcoin are conceptually joined at the hip because the value of both comes from their ‘non-confiscatability’ by inflation, by bank failure, and in the case of bitcoin, by state expropriation. The sharp recent rallies in both gold and bitcoin reflect that the market has suddenly upped the va...
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Report
Fears of a hard landing are abating as growth has been surprising to the upside. New worries are emerging, such as the trajectory of disinflation, and the pace and timing of rate cuts. In this environment, it is important to build a resilient all-weather portfolio, which protects against a correctio...
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Report
Subdued credit growth and weak global trade will remain headwinds for Emirati stocks. Surging property prices, which have led to a boom in real estate stocks, will also peak soon. Stay neutral on this bourse. Sovereign credit investors, however, should stay overweight UAE in EM credit portfolios.
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Report
Valuation metrics in Private Equity and Venture Capital vary widely by source, stage, location, and other factors. They are prone to imprecision, which is why investors should monitor a diverse set. This report offers a series of charts comparing valuation ratios. Focusing solely on valuations revea...
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