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Fixed Income

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UAE Stocks: The Tailwinds And Headwinds

Subdued credit growth and weak global trade will remain headwinds for Emirati stocks. Surging property prices, which have led to a boom in real estate stocks, will also peak soon. Stay neutral on this bourse. Sovereign credit investors, however, should stay overweight UAE in EM credit portfolios.

Emerging Markets Strategy by Rajeeb Pramanik
The Message From US Inflation Expectations
The recent rise in market-based inflation expectations has caught the attention of market participants. Some investors have begun to worry that the Federal Reserve might be losing control of its inflation mandate by cutting rates sooner than it should. But…
Daily Insights
Are Oil Equities Cyclical?
Traditionally, equity managers have thought of oil equities as cyclical. This is because, in the past, oil equities had a strong positive correlation to the overall market. But US oil equities have increasingly become more defensive. Their 36-month rolling…
Daily Insights
No Recession Signal From The Labor Market
According to BCA Research’s US Bond Strategy service, until labor market cracks emerge, the path of least resistance for bond yields is probably higher, but the potential near-term upside in yields is limited. The team is monitoring three indicators that…
Daily Insights
What Is Driving Gold?
Gold prices reached $2300 per ounce for the first time on Wednesday. They have now rallied by more than 12% so far this year. To a degree the furious rally in gold has been puzzling. Who has been buying? It certainly has not been private investors. Global…
Daily Insights
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The US Labor Market Is Still Hot

Our reaction to this morning’s employment report and bond market moves.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
Australian Economy Remains Hot
It is too early for the RBA to begin cutting rates. Inflation remains above target, with core CPI currently standing at 3.4%, one of the highest numbers amongst major economies. The labor market is also fundamentally strong. Australia’s unemployment rate…
Daily Insights
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What Will Spoil The Party?

Climbing US bond yields, alongside higher oil prices, might spoil the party for global risk assets. There are budding cracks in EM domestic bonds, and even though we like this asset class in the long run, investors exposed to it should reduce their positions for now.

Emerging Markets Strategy by Arthur Budaghyan
European Inflation Falls Below Expectations
Flash estimates for Euro Area inflation in March surprised to the downside. Headline inflation slowed from 2.6% to 2.4% versus expectations of 2.5% and core inflation eased from 3.1% to 2.9% versus expectations of 3%. While the stickiness of services…
Daily Insights
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Introducing Complexities Of The World’s 17 Major Investments

The analysis of complexity is a massive competitive advantage in investing, and from today, clients will be able to monitor the complexities of the world’s 17 major investments on our webpage in real-time.

Counterpoint by Dhaval Joshi

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