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Strategy Insight

Democrats Can Shut Down The Government, But Not Yet

by Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist  

We give a one-third probability of a federal government shutdown. It probably will not happen before November. At worst, government shutdowns only cause temporary market volatility. 

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BCA Research | US Political Strategy

A blend of geopolitics and macro, synthesizing the new and old macro to generate alpha and identify the beta through probability-weighted market views.

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