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Special Report Global semiconductor demand will continue contracting, even though the pace of decline will moderate in 2023H2. While demand has increased briskly for Artificial Intelligence-type semiconductors, this will not be enough to lift…
  According to BCA Research’s Counterpoint service, an analysis of the AI rally’s complexity suggests that the rally is nearing a potential reversal point. Can the AI euphoria continue to drive the S&P 500 higher…
What’s going on? The market-weighted stock market is up. But the equally-weighted stock market is not up. Neither is credit. Neither are industrial metal prices. Neither is the oil price, despite two waves of OPEC output cuts. We…
  Most of the profits that today’s internet companies earn stem from the quasi-monopoly power that they enjoy.  According BCA Research’s Global Investment Strategy service, it is possible that AI will have the…
The AI craze could further lift stock prices, boost capex, and delay the onset of the next recession. Looking further out, reaping the profit windfall from AI may take longer than many investors expect.
Once the debt ceiling soap opera ends, investors will likely turn their attention to some of the tailwinds supporting stocks. These include stronger earnings growth, diminished bank stresses, better housing data, early signs of an…
The Q1-2023 earnings season has surprised as companies’ results point to the end of the earnings recession. However, the good news is already priced in – the market has barely budged over the past six weeks. Earnings rebound may…
Special Report The conventional economic thinking about the likely impact of AI is misguided because it extrapolates linearly from what AI can do today to what it can do tomorrow. Just as the investment community and the broader public were…
  According to BCA Research’s Global Investment Strategy service, AI’s progression is following an exponential curve, not a linear one, meaning that advances could come much faster than expected. If humanity survives…
Special Report The conventional economic thinking about the likely impact of AI is misguided because it extrapolates linearly from what AI can do today to what it can do tomorrow. Just as the investment community and the broader public were…