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  According to BCA Research’s Global Investment Strategy service, EM ex-China equities have potential to outperform China and DM in the remainder of the year. Relative to their own history and compared to other EMs,…
Special Report The odds of Russia cutting oil output will rise going into 4Q23, as Ukraine’s endgame increases pressure on it, and it actively seeks to undermine President Biden’s re-election. We reckon a 2mm b/d cut would push Brent above $140/bbl…
  Caterpillar’s Q2 earnings results released on Tuesday beat consensus estimates by a wide margin. Second quarter profit of $2.92 billion ($5.67 per share) came in well above expectations of $2.38 billion ($4.46 per share).…
  According to BCA Research’s Emerging Markets Strategy service, while EM ex-China markets are set to continue outperforming Chinese investable/offshore equities, they are unlikely to deliver superior absolute returns.…
  According to BCA Research’s China Investment Strategy service, Beijing’s investment focus is shifting from traditional infrastructure to new economy infrastructure, which includes clean energy and high-tech sectors…
Special Report The trajectory of China’s infrastructure investment in 2023H2 will be like what occurred in 2021H2. Growth will likely drop from the current nominal 10% to 0-2% in the next six months. China will continue promoting environmentally…
Foreign debt inflows into Philippines will be falling in coming months. Book profits on domestic bonds; and go short the peso.
Among the critical materials needed for the global energy transition, Li is expected to see the largest increase in demand from 2022 to 2050. Li supply is not constrained, but continued investment in mining and refining will be…
Stay cautious on Chinese stocks. Equity investors should use any rebound in onshore stock prices to downgrade A-shares from overweight to neutral within global and EM equity portfolios. Remain underweight Chinese investable/offshore…
  China’s Politburo meeting delivered a disappointing signal about Beijing’s willingness to deliver meaningful stimulus. Although policymakers pledged support for domestic demand, consumer sentiment, and risk prevention…