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Prefer government bonds over stocks, defensive sectors over cyclicals, and large caps over small caps. Favor North America over other markets. Favor emerging markets like Southeast Asia and Latin America over Greater China, Turkey,…
Special Report Prefer government bonds over stocks, defensive sectors over cyclicals, and large caps over small caps. Favor North America over other markets. Favor emerging markets like Southeast Asia and Latin America over Greater China, Turkey,…
Special Report In this report, we argue that the dollar will enter a volatile trading range, before a bear market begins in earnest. That said, fundamental forces are aligning for US dollar downside.
  Chinese import and export growth both disappointed and signal that the Chinese economy continues to face acute global and domestic headwinds. Imports collapsed by 10.6% y/y in USD terms following October’s 0.7% y/y decline…
  BCA Research’s China Investment Strategy service expects the country’s green and tech infrastructure investment to continue to boom in 2023 and beyond. China’s tech infrastructure investment skyrocketed by…
Special Report Investors should maintain a conservative and defensive strategy until recession risks are clearly reduced.
Special Report China’s infrastructure investment growth rate will likely slow from its current nominal 14% to 4-6% in 2023H1, on a year-over-year basis. Funding constraints and a shrinking pool of good projects will cap the upside in China’s…
  Chinese investable stocks and the Asian currencies index posted the largest positive post-GFC abnormal returns among major financial market assets in November. Investor optimism about a potential relaxation of pandemic measures…
  The Chinese Renminbi recently made a sharp U-turn. Year-to-date weakness has given way to a 4.9% appreciation versus the USD since the end of October. This rally occurred against the backdrop of broad-based US dollar depreciation…
  BCA Research’s China Investment Strategy service recommends a new relative equity trade: short Chinese bank stocks / long Chinese consumer staples and auto stocks. Authorities are once again using banks to finance…