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  Key indicators of Chinese domestic economic activity in February such as industrial production, fixed assets investment, retail sales, and property investment all generated relatively substantial positive surprises. However, the…
  China’s zero tolerance policy towards the COVID-19 virus is a source of downside risk to the near-term economic outlook. Multiple Chinese cities have been placed under lockdown in an effort to tame surging COVID-19 cases…
  Chinese money and credit data were weaker than expected in February. New total social financing amounted to RMB1.19 trillion – below January’s RMB6.17 trillion surge and lower than expectations of a RMB2.20 trillion…
Special Report Dear client, This week we are sending you a joint Special Report with my colleague Chester Ntonifor, Foreign Exchange Strategist. The Special Report provides our outlook on the RMB. I trust that you will find the report very insightful.…
Special Report Executive Summary The RMB And Real Interest Rates  The RMB has overshot and will likely consolidate gains in the coming months. That said, the yuan remains underpinned by a current account surplus, positive real rates, and a…
Executive Summary The RMB And Real Interest Rates  The RMB has overshot and will likely consolidate gains in the coming months. The said, the yuan remains underpinned by a current account surplus, positive real rates, and a…
Special Report Executive Summary Tight Inventories Spike Metals  Russia's war against Ukraine is a watershed moment, which will realign production, distribution and consumption of commodities globally. The development of new sources…
  Price pressures in China eased in February. The producer price index increased by 8.8% – the slowest pace in eight months and below January’s 9.1% y/y growth rate. Meanwhile, CPI inflation was unchanged at January…
  Chinese investable stocks have collapsed 12.4% since the start of the Russia-Ukraine war in late-February. The MSCI investable index is now at its mid-March 2020 pandemic low. Several factors are contributing to the selloff.…
  Taiwanese exports surged 34.8% y/y in February – accelerating from January’s 16.7% increase and more than double expectations of 15.7% y/y. In particular, exports of electronic product parts – which account for…