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Deutsche Bank's woes highlight a much wider malaise within European banks: under-capitalisation and under-profitability. We explain why getting the banks right is crucial to a successful investment strategy in equity, bond and…
It's hard to make a case for attractive returns from any asset class over the next year. We dial down risk a bit but ending our overweight on junk bonds. Investors should pick up yield where they can but without taking excessive risk…
Are negative yields on $10 trillion of global bonds a sure sign of a bubble? The answer is no... and yes.
If the Fed convinces markets it is on track to lift rates this year and a couple of times next year, we expect a 10% appreciation of the USD over the next 12 months. This would be extremely bearish for commodities.
A Fed rate hike by December could erode the slowly evolving fundamentals favoring base metals.
Clearing the refined-product overhang in the global storage markets is not as straightforward as it used to be: The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), China, and India all are making concerted efforts to boost refining capacity, which is…
Refiners will reduce run rates over the next month or so to clear unintended inventory accumulation, but it's not like they've never had to deal with this situation.
Commodity speculation provides liquidity to hedgers, allows price discovery, and offers access to an asset class that typically produces returns that are not correlated with stock or bond returns.
Our strategic and tactical trades were up an average 24.6% in 2016Q2, led by strategic energy recommendations. Going forward, we continue to favor energy exposure over base and precious metals, ags and softs.
A number of divergences have emerged in global financial markets. These gaps are unsustainable. The recent improvement in Asian trade/manufacturing has been largely due to firming demand for electronics/semiconductors. Meanwhile,…