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Listen to a short summary of this report.     Executive Summary Significant Savings Provide A Moat Around Consumers  Three mega moats will protect the US economy over the next 12 months: 1) A high number of job…
Special Report Executive Summary Iron Ore & Steel Prices: Facing Downward Pressure  Global iron ore and steel supply is likely to grow faster than demand over the next six months. As a result, the prices of both metals will likely fall…
S&P 500 Chart 1Macroeconomic Backdrop  Chart 2Profitability  Chart 3Valuations And Technicals  Chart 4Uses Of Cash  Cyclicals Vs Defensives Chart 5Macroeconomic Backdrop  Chart…
Executive Summary China Copper Consumption Failed To Revive Post-Pandemic  A greater-than-expected contraction in manufacturing and construction in China – evidenced by the latest PMI and home sales data – will…
Executive Summary An Optimal Control Policy  We could see some modest near-term downside in Treasury yields as inflation rolls over during the next few months, but we caution against turning overly bullish on bonds even if…
Dear Client, Next Friday we will publish a Special Report on Gold in conjunction with our colleagues in BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange and Global Investment strategy groups.  We will return to our regular schedule of…
Listen to a short summary of this report.       Executive Summary Recession Checklist  US stocks were down almost 20% at their lowest point in May. Any lower and they would be pricing in recession.…
Executive Summary Markets Priced For A Restrictive Level Of Australian Rates  The neutral interest rate in Australia is lower than in past cycles, for several reasons: low potential growth, weak productivity, high household…
Special Report Executive Summary Markets Priced For A Restrictive Level Of Australian Rates  The neutral interest rate in Australia is lower than in past cycles, for several reasons: low potential growth, weak productivity, high household…
Listen to a short summary of this report.         Executive Summary The US Inflation Surprise Index Has Rolled Over  Global equities are nearing a bottom and will rally over the coming months as…