China’s Caixin PMIs decelerated in January, with the composite ticking down to 51.1 from 51.4. The decrease was driven by both manufacturing, which fell to 50.1 from 50.5, and services, which fell from 52.2 to 51.0. The data is…
Our China Investment strategists assessed the impact of increased US tariffs on China. The latest US tariff hike on Chinese imports is expected to cut China’s GDP growth by 0.6 percentage points in 2025, primarily through a 2.5-…
The 10% tariff hike announced on Saturday will likely serve as the opening salvo in a broader wave of protectionist measures. In this report, we assess the increase in US import tariffs on China. While the direct impact on China’s…
Markets and forecasters anticipate a “Golden Age” for Trump’s America, with US growth expectations soaring while the rest of the world lags. However, this extreme optimism means that there is a lot of room for disappointment. Cooling…
Please join BCA Research's Commodity & Energy Strategist, Roukaya Ibrahim for a Webcast on Thursday, January 30 at 10:30 AM EST (3:30 PM GMT, 4:30 PM CET).
News of a cheaper Chinese-developed AI model sent a tremor through markets, with a selloff in the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and leading tech names associated with AI. The narrative on Monday was that the eye-watering sums spent on AI…
China’s official January PMIs disappointed, with the composite ticking down to 50.1 from 52.2. The decrease was driven by both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing components, with the former indicating contraction, and the latter…
Our China Investment Strategy team explored how the costs of higher tariffs might be distributed among foreign suppliers, US importers, and consumers. The inflationary impact of new US tariffs is likely to remain modest unless…