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Commodities & Energy Sector

Gold Will Continue Outperforming Oil
The gold-to-oil price ratio seems tactically overextended, but global macro drivers suggest it will rise further.   The gold bull run is still relatively young and not yet stretched compared to rallies from the past 50 years. Importantly, ongoing…
Daily Insights by Juan Egana
Is The Uranium Bull Market Ready To Resume Climbing The Wall Of Doubt?
Uranium spot prices may have found a floor after falling to $64/lb from a $107/lb peak in February last year. This drawdown has been unexpected considering the strength of the underlying supply-demand fundamentals for uranium. The momentum remains…
Daily Insights by Jeremie Peloso
Oil Price War Lite
Q1 Export Spike Masks Eurozone Slowdown Ahead …
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Geopolitics Month Ahead: Trade Deals

Negotiations on trade, Iran, and Ukraine will prove critical this month. Markets will remain volatile because positive data surprises enable the White House to press its hawkish tariff hikes, while negative surprises force the White House to backpedal. 

Geopolitical Strategy by Jesse Anak Kuri
Oil: A One-Two Punch
Our Commodity strategists stay short oil and long gold as global demand weakens and OPEC+ offers no support. Brent’s floor has likely fallen to $50, and bearish supply and demand forces continue to dominate the price outlook. Crude consumption forecasts…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
MacroQuant Model Update: Stagflationary Brew

MacroQuant sees the risks to US growth as being to the downside and the risks to inflation as being to the upside. Such a stagflationary brew justifies an underweight on stocks.

Global Asset Allocation by Peter Berezin, Chanhyuck Lee, Allen Li
MacroQuant Model Update: Stagflationary Brew

MacroQuant sees the risks to US growth as being to the downside and the risks to inflation as being to the upside. Such a stagflationary brew justifies an underweight on stocks.

Global Investment Strategy by Peter Berezin, Chanhyuck Lee, Allen Li
Maintain A Defensive Positioning In Commodities
No Respite For Brazilian Markets No…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Navigating Commodities In A Global Selloff
Our Commodities strategists remain defensively positioned, recommending a long gold versus oil and copper trade over a cyclical timeframe. While gold may correct near term, it still offers safe-haven appeal in the face of rising policy uncertainty.Silver is…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
MacroQuant Model Update: MacroQuant Is Bearish On Stocks, But Perhaps Not Bearish Enough?

Going into April, MacroQuant recommends a modest underweight on stocks, offset by an overweight on bonds and cash. While MacroQuant is modestly bearish on stocks, we suspect that the downside risks to equities may be greater than what the model assumes.

Global Asset Allocation by Peter Berezin

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