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In early-April we boosted our S&P cable & satellite exposure to above benchmark, as cord-cutting has been less destructive than feared and the industry continues to successfully lift subscription rates in a world plagued by…
Our Cyclical Indicator Update reveals that a defensive portfolio strategy remains the best bet to navigate the crosscurrents of stagnant profit/economic growth yet abundant global liquidity.
There is a strong incentive for homeowners to invest in their own homes, as existing home prices have eclipsed pre-crisis peaks. Mortgage credit is also readily available and growing again after a multiyear contraction, which will aid…
The decline in global bond yields and negative interest rates outside the U.S. represent a windfall for U.S. housing, to the extent that U.S. mortgage rates are pushed below levels warranted on U.S. fundamentals alone. With a fully…
Housing activity should accelerate in the back half of the year given the drop in Treasury yields. Buy home improvement retailers and add to long homebuilding positions.
The Brexit drama has moved from the realms of psephology into the realms of game theory. How will the game play out? And how will the economy and financial markets react?
The S&P media sector has been in a consolidation phase for over two years, in relative performance terms. That is consistent with cash flow trends, which flat-lined alongside a slump in sales growth and rising costs. However, we…
The previous Insight showed that mortgage demand was rising steadily, courtesy of the decline in mortgage rates and willingness of banks to extend mortgage credit. We expect this to translate into steady sales increases for the…
The decline in global bond yields and negative interest rates abroad represents a windfall for U.S. housing, to the extent that U.S. mortgage rates are lower than they otherwise would be. The latest plunge in yields is translating into…