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Corporate Bonds

In this, our final report of the year, we present our main global fixed income investment themes and recommendations for 2024.

Our US fixed income team’s key investment views for 2024.

According to BCA Research’s US Bond Strategy service, US corporate bond spreads are far too tight. The soft landing narrative took hold of markets in November as the overnight index swap (OIS) curve moved to price in 159 bps of Fed easing between now and…
According to BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service, European corporate spreads will widen over the coming six months before an attractive buying opportunity emerges in the second half of 2024. 2024 will likely be characterized by three credit…

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for December 2023.

The recent uptick in European economic data will not last beyond the next six months. How will European corporate credit perform in this context?

Our kinked Phillips curve framework predicted the immaculate disinflation of 2023. That same framework is now warning that the global economy is heading towards a recession in the second half of 2024.

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for November 2023.

High interest rates will eventually cause growth to slow. Signs of stress are already starting to show. Stay cautiously positioned.

What will the next manufacturing cycle look like in Europe and how will risk assets perform? Lessons from the recent past.