EM stocks, including Chinese equities, tend to perform well during periods of stronger global growth, rising commodity prices and a weaker US dollar. However, a falling dollar index since April has failed to boost Chinese…
Highlights Important leading indicators of Eurozone activity point to record growth in the coming quarters. Progress on the vaccination front, global pent-up demand, and easing fiscal policy will fuel the Euro Area recovery. Consensus…
Colombian assets are reeling after President Ivan Duque withdrew a tax reform proposal on Sunday following deadly street protests and political opposition. Finance Minister Alberto Carrasquilla, who designed the bill, resigned on…
Highlights Sweden’s economic recovery is robust and will deepen. Policy is accommodative. Very few advanced economies will benefit as much from the global economic rebound. The labor market will tighten, capacity utilization…
New Zealand has been one of the few countries to get the COVID-19 pandemic under control in short order. Since June of last year, the number of new infections has been practically zero. The travel bubble with Australia has also…
Highlights The kiwi will continue to benefit from a pandemic-free recovery and normalization in monetary policy from the RBNZ. However, the kiwi is becoming expensive according to most of our models. This will begin to impact growth…
Highlights Biden’s first 100 days are characterized by a liberal spend-and-tax agenda unseen since the 1960s. It is not a “bait and switch,” however. Voters do not care about deficits and debt. At least not for now.…
Sizable upward revisions to US growth projections – notably relative to its developed market counterparts – gave the US dollar a modest boost in the first quarter of 2021. The question is, where will the dollar go…