Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary Investors Are Pricing In A Much More Aggressive Tightening Cycle Than At The Start Of The Year Following last week’s sharp post-FOMC rally…
Executive Summary Biden Can Take Risks Ahead Of Midterms News reports suggest House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will travel to Taiwan and meet with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen in the coming days. China has promised military…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary The Dollar Rises During Recessions At 106.5, the dollar DXY index is certainly pricing in a recession deeper than during the Covid-19 crisis.…
The Indian rupee has lost nearly 7% of its value versus the US dollar since the start of the year. Surging commodity prices pushed India’s trade deficit to new lows in June. Meanwhile, portfolio outflows weighed down on the…
Executive Summary If a loss of wealth persists for a year or more, it hurts the economy. The recent $40 trillion slump in global financial wealth is larger than that suffered in the pandemic of 2020, the global financial crisis of…
The trade weighted dollar index’s 7% gain so far this year underscores the broad-based nature of USD strength. In fact, nearly all currencies have been falling versus the US dollar over the past several months. The…
BCA Research’s China Investment Strategy service expects the RMB to continue to depreciate relative to the US dollar in the next few months. China’s interest rate differential versus the US dollar has fallen deeper…
Executive Summary China: Can The Economy Recover Without Housing Revival The rebound in China’s business activity in June reflects the release of pent-up demand from the economic reopening after lockdowns in April and…
Even though Japan and China – the top foreign owners of US government debt – have been reducing their holdings of US Treasurys, net foreign purchases of US Treasurys have been surging. This dynamic is relevant as our…