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Developed Countries

Canada’s Headwinds Push The BoC Toward Easing …
The May ISM Services PMI sent a stagflationary signal, reinforcing the case for defensive positioning. The headline index slipped into contraction at 49.9 from 51.6 in April, missing expectations. New orders collapsed to 46.4 from 52.3, while employment edged…

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for June 2025.

1 Weak ISM Manufacturing Data Underscores Slowdown Despite Trade Truce …
1 Ukraine, Tariffs, and TACO: Still Buying Europe on Dips …
Our European strategists expect the EURO STOXX 50 to remain rangebound between 4750 and 5500 this summer, creating a punishing environment for buy-and-hold investors. With the index near the top of its range, they recommend trimming outright exposure and…

MacroQuant warns that US equities are pricing in very little economic risk. The model is shunning equities and recommends a large overweight to cash.

MacroQuant warns that US equities are pricing in very little economic risk. The model is shunning equities and recommends a large overweight to cash.

Rising bond yields may present an even greater danger to the global economy than the trade war. With equity valuations no longer discounting much economic risk, investors should position themselves defensively.

1 Food For Thought …