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Developed Countries

Watch The Dots At September FOMC

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for September 2023.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
The Most Important Charts For The Next Dollar Move

In this week’s report, we assess the key reasons why the dollar has risen, and if that is set to continue.

Foreign Exchange Strategy by Chester Ntonifor
The US Market Reigns Supreme
Strategists arguing for an end of the outperformance of US equities over international stocks have pointed to the lofty valuations of American stocks vis-à-vis their global counterparts. Moreover, they have highlighted that US tech companies, which have led…
Daily Insights
Bond Yields And Cyclicals Versus Defensives
Since the beginning of the year, our equally-weighted global cyclicals index has outperformed equally-weighted defensives by about 13%. As the chart above shows, this relative performance trend has been extremely positively correlated with US 10-year…
Daily Insights
Carbon Credits: Watch Out For The Red Light

Carbon credits as an asset class are becoming increasingly investable. Given that the structural bull case for this asset class is compelling, strategic investors should long carbon credits. However tactical investors should book profits or consider merits of a short position, since prices are likely to correct over the next 12-24 months.

Global Investment Strategy by Ritika Mankar
US ISM Services PMI Unexpectedly Rises
The US ISM delivered a positive signal about service sector activity in August. The headline index unexpectedly jumped by 1.8 points to a six-month high of 54.5, surprising expectations of a 0.2-point decline to 52.5. Importantly, the details of the report…
Daily Insights
The BoC Stands Pat
As expected, the Bank of Canada kept its policy rate unchanged at 5% on Wednesday. In particular, the central bank highlighted that domestic economic growth deteriorated. Indeed, last week’s GDP release showed the Canadian economy unexpectedly contracted…
Daily Insights
Eurozone Economic Weakness A Headwind For EUR/USD
Recent Eurozone economic data indicate that restrictive monetary policy and the global manufacturing downturn are weighing down on the region’s economy. In particular, new orders at German factories plunged by 11.7% m/m in July – significantly below…
Daily Insights
Goldilocks Is Just A Fairy Tale
According to BCA Research’s Counterpoint service, Goldilocks is just a fairy tale. In the near-term, this will be negative for stocks, neutral for bonds, and positive for the dollar. The Fed can win the war against inflation, but not without much higher…
Daily Insights
From Southeast Asia To Spain (GeoRisk Update)

The geopolitical backdrop remains negative despite some marginally less negative news. China’s stimulus is not yet large or fast enough to prevent a market riot. Two of our preferred equity regions, ASEAN and Europe, are struggling to outperform. Investors should stay defensive overall.

Geopolitical Strategy by Yushu Ma, Jesse Anak Kuri

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