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Generative AI is a major technological breakthrough that holds tremendous economic and investment promise and will have sweeping effects on wide swaths of the economy. We are bullish on generative AI as a long-term investment theme. However, at the moment we observe hallmarks of an investment frenzy. We believe that there will be a more attractive entry point for patient investors.

US Equity Strategy, US Political Strategy, Global Investment Strategy by Irene Tunkel, Guy Russell
NY Fed Survey: Near-Term Inflation Expectations Retreat
The results of the New York Fed’s February Survey of Consumer Expectations show a significant decline in short-term inflation expectations. Median one-year ahead inflation expectations fell by 0.8 percentage points (pp) to 4.2% – the lowest since May 2021.…
Daily Insights
The Bank Selloff Deepens
The performance of S&P 500 sectors was mixed on Monday with Financials emerging as the major loser, down 3.8%. In particular, the selloff in bank stocks deepened, with regional banks leading the decline. As BCA’s Chief US Investment strategist…
Daily Insights
Fed Policy Implications of SVB Fallout
US Treasuries are rallying sharply on the expectation that the Fed will halt rate hikes in response to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. The 2-year yield ended the day near 4% on Monday as investors priced out rate hikes and raised bets on rate cuts later…
Daily Insights
The Outlook For The Pound
BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service concludes that on a long-term basis, the pound is an attractive currency, but the near-term outlook is challenging. The long-term appeal of the GBP rests on three pillars: Valuations: The…
Daily Insights
Position For A Bear-Flattening Of The US Treasury Curve

Our fixed income strategists recommend positioning for a bear-flattening of the US Treasury curve.

US Bond Strategy, Global Fixed Income Strategy by Ryan Swift
Comprehensive UK Outlook

The UK economy is more resilient than was feared last year. While this will not help UK stocks, the Footsie’s long term prospects are appealing.

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary
US Politics: Questions From The Road

Investors in Europe and the American West are already starting to think about the implications of the 2024 election, given that sticky inflation and tighter monetary policy keep the risk of recession elevated.

US Political Strategy by Matt Gertken
The End Of A Decade
As expected, the BoJ maintained its dovish policy stance at Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s last monetary policy meeting ahead of his April 8 departure. The post-meeting statement noted that the recovery in economic activity is continuing with employment and…
Daily Insights
In Banks We Trust?
Thursday’s sharp US equity selloff – which saw the S&P 500 lose 1.8% – extended to Friday, bringing down the US benchmark by another 1.4% and weighing on stocks globally. The catalyst for these moves was an announcement from SVB Financial Group of a…
Daily Insights

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AI BCA Indicators/Model BDCs Bubbles/Crises/Manias Commodities Commodities & Energy Sector Country In-Focus Currencies Defaults Deleveraging See more Topics