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  For now, the most up-to-date indicators of economic activity show that the global economy continues to decelerate, especially in the service sector. For example, the number of flights around the world has fallen by more than 70%…
Special Report Highlights The potential range of book value outcomes for large banks is enormous, … : Total credit losses will be a function of the virus’ persistence, the intensity and duration of the social distancing actions taken to…
Last Friday, BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy service concluded that the most important supply shortage amid the global pandemic is that of medical equipment. As the US faces the peak of its COVID-19 outbreak, public health…
Special Report Highlights Global shortages of medical equipment – including medicines – are frontloaded until emergency production kicks in. As the crisis abates, political recriminations between the US and China will surge. The US will…
Highlights The Federal Reserve’s temporary FIMA repo facility will go a long way in helping ease dollar-funding stress outside the US. However, with the duration of the lockdown highly uncertain, a liquidity crisis could…
Special Report Making predictions about the economic and market outlook seems a futile exercise in the midst of such massive uncertainty. The deluge of articles about COVID-19 merely serves to highlight that nobody really knows how things will play out…
Special Report Dear Client, This week’s report is written by BCA’s chief economist, Martin Barnes. Martin explores the myriad ways the pandemic could influence long-term economic and financial trends. I trust you will find his report very…
Highlights Please note that we published a Special Report early this week titled Brazilian Banks: Falling Angels, and an analysis on India. Please also note that we are publishing an analysis on Indonesia below. Given uncertainty…
Highlights Extreme global economic uncertainty has pushed demand for USD higher, and forced investors to liquidate gold holdings to raise cash for margin calls and to provide precautionary balances. Gold endured a succession of down…
Highlights The economic shutdown needed to exhaust the coronavirus pandemic must last much longer than is anticipated. For example, in Italy it must last 24 weeks. If the economy is reopened too soon, the pandemic will reignite in a…