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Emerging Markets

Chinese Equities: Decent Odds Of An Intervention-Driven Bounce
Chinese domestic stocks have fared quite poorly over the past year. Since late-January 2023, the Shanghai Shenzhen 300 index fell roughly 24% to last week’s low, driven by ongoing weakness in China’s economy and a steady and ongoing collapse in investor…
Daily Insights
Long Chilean Bank Stocks / Short EM Equity Benchmark
According to BCA Research’s Emerging Markets Strategy service, Chilean bank stocks offer great value and are poised to outperform the EM equity benchmark. Chilean bank share prices are well-positioned to outperform due to the domestic economic recovery and…
Daily Insights
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The Risk Of Overheating

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for February 2024.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
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Indonesian Election 2024: New Order 2.0?

Indonesia will not revert to dictatorship. Yet the guardrails against authoritarianism are also constraining the actions of the next government in tackling near term domestic and regional challenges. For long-term positioning, use potential selloff from a “dictatorship scare” to build position as structural outlook for Indonesia is positive due to the China-West divorce and the global energy transition.

Geopolitical Strategy by Jesse Anak Kuri
January Survey Results: Invincible?
In the monthly Daily Insights Survey we conducted over the past week, we asked about our readers’ views on tech stocks, the US economy in 2024, and China’s contribution to global growth. Regarding tech stocks, 44% of respondents believe the rally as…
Daily Insights
Escalating Conflict In The Middle East
Since the pursuit of a nuclear deterrent makes it inevitable that the US and Israel will oppose Iran in the coming years, Iran must seize the initiative today. It cannot afford to assume that the Democratic Party will stay in power and continue to pursue…
Daily Insights
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An Update On The Hong Kong Dollar Peg

In this Special Report, we update our thinking on the Hong Kong SAR dollar peg, with implications for domestic asset markets.

China Investment Strategy, Foreign Exchange Strategy by Qingyun Xu, Chester Ntonifor
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Monthly Portfolio Update: Waiting For The Recession

When will the US also buckle under high rates? We expect a US recession to begin around mid-year. Stay defensive.

Global Asset Allocation by Garry Evans
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MacroQuant Model Update: The Party Is Winding Down

Following the release of the white paper yesterday, today we are sending you the inaugural issue of the MacroQuant Monthly, a report summarizing the output of our next-generation MacroQuant 2.0 model.

Global Investment Strategy by Peter Berezin
Sluggish Economic Conditions Persist In China
China’s official NBS PMI indicates that growth conditions remain sluggish. Although the composite index ticked up from 50.3 to 50.9, it is still barely in expansionary territory. Notably, the manufacturing PMI – which inched up by 0.2 points in January –…
Daily Insights

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