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Equities

US Banks: Most Of The Pain Is Priced In
BCA Research’s US Equity Strategy service recommends investors move to overweight banks over a tactical horizon. Q2 earnings results, while cheered by investors, were quite a mixed bag. And most of the bank challenges remain a concern: High interest…
Daily Insights
Three Scenarios In Which The US Can Avoid A Recession

Although not our base case, there is a path for the US economy to avoid a recession over the next few years. We see the risks to stocks as tilted to the upside in the near term but to the downside over a 12-month horizon.

Global Investment Strategy by Peter Berezin
US Leading Indicators Still Warn Of Recession
Investors have become increasingly more optimistic about the economic outlook. BoA’s Global Fund Manager Survey shows the share of investors surveyed expecting the global economy to experience a soft landing over the next 12 months rose to 68% in July. That…
Daily Insights
What Lies Behind Spain's Resilience?
According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy and European Investment Strategy services, Spain’s economy is outperforming that of the Eurozone thanks to lower inflation and exploding tourism activity. These trends will not be affected by the results of…
Daily Insights
Spain's Election: Neither Sanchism Nor Francoism

Spain is holding a general election this Sunday and the country is likely to veer to the right. Will this shift threaten European unity and herald a new period of tensions in the Eurozone?

Geopolitical Strategy, European Investment Strategy by Yushu Ma, Mathieu Savary
ZAR: Signal Or Noise?
The South African rand has been a key winner amid the recent improvement in risk sentiment. Notably, the ZAR's 10.9% appreciation versus the US dollar since May 25 has made it the best performing major currency over this period. To the extent that the…
Daily Insights
Breaking Out?
BCA Research’s Emerging Markets Strategy service concludes that the failure of EM stocks, Asian currencies and commodities to stage a broad-based outperformance is consistent with their macro thesis that global trade/manufacturing – the main driver of EM –…
Daily Insights
On Breakouts And Breakdowns

In this report, we dissect which markets have broken out and which ones have not, and reflect what this entails for our global macro view. Also, we analyze how the S&P 500 has been taking its cues from a change in the inflation trend. Yet, inflation dynamics are complex, and a falling inflation rate does not mean that the inflation menace has been eliminated.

Emerging Markets Strategy by Arthur Budaghyan
The Mood Has Brightened
According to BCA Research’s US Investment Strategy service the risk-reward from overweighting equities and underweighting fixed income is far less appealing than it was toward the end of last year. Now that the mood is brightening, growth expectations are…
Daily Insights
Will US Consumer Discretionary Continue Outperforming?
In the first five months of the year, optimism about GAI (generative AI) drove a narrow rally in US equities. The three sectors that contain companies that are most exposed to this dynamic were the only ones that experienced price gains. IT, Communication…
Daily Insights

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