Euro Area

For our last publication of the year, we explore five key themes that will dominate the European macro landscape and markets next year. While the start of 2025 will be challenging for European assets, the latter part will offer some much-needed relief.

Spain has outperformed most developed markets since 2022 – real economic output and risk assets alike. Can it last? 

France finds itself in a unique, thorny situation. Can it heave itself out of it? And what does it mean for investors? 

Investors have given up on European assets, which now suffer exceptional discounts to US ones. However, tighter US fiscal policy, the end of Europe’s austerity and deleveraging, the LNG Tsunami about to hit European shores, and the global capex fueled by the Impossible Geopolitical Trinity mean that Europe’s time to shine will soon come back.