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Euro Area

French Elections Provide Tactical Opportunity For Eurozone Stocks
Eurozone equities sold off 7% from their June 6 highs, according to MSCI indices. The surprise French legislative elections and renewed fears of populism and European Union exits are spooking investors. Yet, our European Investment strategists argued that…
Daily Insights
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Too Late To Sell France?

European assets are selling off as investors panic about the upcoming French election. Is this panic justified, and if so, for how long?

European Investment Strategy, Geopolitical Strategy by Mathieu Savary, Jeremie Peloso
The Consumption Outlook Outside Of The US
According to BCA Research’s Global Investment Strategy service, aggressive fiscal stimulus and labor market flexibility contributed to the relative strength of the US consumer. However, adverse region-specific effects also played a role. Most notably, the…
Daily Insights
EU Tariffs On Chinese EVs Are Less Than Meets The Eye
On Wednesday, the European Commission announced it would impose tariffs ranging between 17% and 38% on imports of Chinese EVs starting next month. These duties will be applied on top of existing 10% across-the-board tariffs on all Chinese EV imports, and…
Daily Insights
Fade The Outcome Of The European Elections
According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy service, the European parliamentary election was not an earthquake. It saw an improvement in right-leaning political groups and a deterioration in both centrist and left-leaning groups, as expected. …
Daily Insights
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EU Election: Will Policy Be Affected?

Europe did not witness a major policy reversal. Inflationary pressures are coming down, enabling the ECB to cut rates and European states to maintain soft budgets. Geopolitical challenges ensure that European parties continue to cooperate on national defense, economic security, and energy security.

Geopolitical Strategy, European Investment Strategy by Matt Gertken, Jeremie Peloso
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The First ECB Cut Of Many

The ECB is now firmly in easing mode, even if it refuses to pre-commit to a specific rate path. What does this data dependency mean for the euro and European yields?

European Investment Strategy, Global Fixed Income Strategy by Mathieu Savary
ECB Cuts Rates But Hikes Inflation Forecast
After holding rates steady over the past nine months, the ECB delivered on its widely expected rate cut on Thursday. The Governing Council lowered all three key ECB interest rates by 25 bps, bringing the refinancing, marginal lending facility and deposit…
Daily Insights
KOF Leading Indicator Disappoints
The Swiss KOF Barometer is a composite leading indicator of the Swiss economy. It surprised to the downside in May, coming in at 100.3 from 101.9, below expectation of an acceleration to 102.1. Switzerland’s economy is highly pro-cyclical and…
Daily Insights
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Is Europe Doomed To Underperform Forever?

European stocks have massively underperformed US ones since the GFC. Demographics and productivity say this trend will continue, but is that really so?

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary

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