The February Ifo Business Climate index for Germany slightly missed estimates, staying unchanged from 85.2 in January. While respondents’ assessment of the current situation weakened, expectations rebounded to 85.4 from 84.3. …
Eurozone banks have quietly outpaced the Magnificent 7—can they keep winning? With strong balance sheets, rising profitability, and structural tailwinds, European lenders still offer value despite short-term risks. Meanwhile, German…
A nascent theme in the latest data is the broad improvement in European sentiment. The February Sentix and ZEW surveys both improved, and flash estimates for European consumer confidence beat estimates, ticking up to -13.6%.…
The January UK CPI was slightly hotter than expected. Headline inflation beat estimates, rising to 3.0% y/y from 2.5% in December. Core inflation also jumped but was in line with expectations at 3.7%. Services were strong, albeit…
While geopolitics captured the latest headlines, Eurozone economic surprises have turned positive, while those in the US are on the verge of turning negative. Global economic surprises hinge on expectations and…
Our European strategists evaluate the looming threat of US tariffs on Europe, as it is President Trump’s next trade target after Canada, Mexico and China. While a deal centered on European energy imports and defense spending is…
January flash inflation for the Eurozone slightly beat expectations, with headline HICP ticking up to 2.5% y/y from 2.4% in December, and core steady at 2.7%, above the ECB’s target. Services ticked down to 3.9% from 4.0%. The…