On Monday, EU leaders agreed to a sixth round of sanctions on Russia which includes a partial embargo on oil imports that will take full effect by the end of the year. The ban applies to crude oil and petroleum products delivered…
German HICP rose from 7.8% y/y to 8.7% y/y in May, exceeding expectations of 8.1% y/y. Accelerating goods prices led the increase, while services inflation eased in May. Notably, energy and food prices surged 38.3% y/y and 11.1%…
Executive Summary Inflationary Pressures To Fade The biggest problem for the European economy is surging inflation. Inflation has eroded household real disposable income and is hurting consumption. Inflation is set to…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary US Financial Conditions Have Tightened Significantly This Year US financial conditions have tightened by enough that the Fed no…
Executive Summary EU Surprises Carbon Market With Increased CO2 Emission Allowance Supply The EU's failed foreign policy – premised on ever-deeper engagement with the Soviet Union and, after it collapsed, Russia…
Highlights The economic and financial market developments that have occurred over the past month are consistent with several of the risks that we identified in our recent reports. We warned in our April report that the outlook for…
ECB President Christine Lagarde provided a clear signal that Eurozone policymakers are preparing to start raising interest rates this summer. In a blog post that was published on Monday, she wrote that “even when supply…
Executive Summary Villains Still Lurking European assets and the euro already discount a significant worsening of Europe’s economic outlook. If the global economic situation were to stabilize, then European assets…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary The US Inflation Surprise Index Has Rolled Over Global equities are nearing a bottom and will rally over the coming months as…