Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary EUR/JPY And The DXY: Unsustainable Gap Three interrelated themes are likely to play out by the end of 2022 – peak Fed hawkishness,…
Global growth headwinds have increased since the start of the year. Commodity prices have soared on the back of the war in Ukraine. The Eurozone’s near-term economic outlook has dimmed and is at risk of a more severe…
Executive Summary Loss Of Russian Production Will Lift Brent With German imports of Russian oil close to 10% of its total requirements – following an impressive decline from 35% pre-invasion – we expect the EU to…
After breaking below 1.05 last week, EUR/USD has recently been strengthening. Interestingly, this recovery is occurring amid heightened geopolitical tensions and growth concerns. The odds of an EU embargo on Russian oil have…
Executive Summary Global inflation will peak sometime in the next few months, a process that has likely already begun in the US. This will give policymakers some breathing room to turn less hawkish, a more credible stance given…
BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service concludes that a temporary pullback in the performance of UK equities relative to Euro Area stocks is likely in the second half of 2022. UK stocks enjoy a structural…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary The Dollar Likes Volatility Uncertainty about Fed policy has supercharged volatility in bond markets, and correspondingly, USD demand (Feature…
Executive Summary The Fed, Bank of England (BoE) and Reserve Bank of Australia all hiked rates last week. The BoE, however, signaled a note of caution on future UK growth, given soaring energy prices and plunging consumer and business…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary Global Equities Are More Attractively Valued After The Recent Sell-Off We tactically downgraded global equities in late February but see…