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Europe

Mathieu and Chester will discuss the outlook for European assets, Global Fixed Income and FX.
Our Global Fixed Income and FX strategists published their 2025 outlook, and provide five key views for the year ahead.  Duration revival: After three years of underperformance versus cash, government bonds will outperform in either a soft-landing…
The November UK CPI, in line with estimates, hit an eight-month high, accelerating from 2.3% y/y to 2.6%. Core and services inflation were also strong at 3.5% (vs. 3.3% in October) and 5.0% (flat from October), respectively.  Services inflation…
European sentiment data was mixed. The December Ifo Business Climate index for Germany missed estimates and was down 1 point to 84.7 from November. The decrease came from its expectations component, which fell to 84.4 from 87.2. Meanwhile, the December ZEW…
Our European Investment Strategy team published their annual outlook, outlining five key themes that will shape Europe’s economy and markets in 2025.  Europe will enter a mild recession in H1 2025, but growth is expected to rebound quickly in the…
December flash PMIs for the core advanced economies showed service sector growth picking up. Manufacturing keeps contracting, and the US continues to outperform its DM peers. The US composite index beat expectations and increased to 56.6 from 54.9.…
Our Chart Of The Week comes from Mathieu Savary, Chief Strategist of our European Investment Strategy service. Mathieu sees a dimming outlook for European industrial stocks in the near term.The sector has been one of the strongest performers in Europe this…

For our last publication of the year, we explore five key themes that will dominate the European macro landscape and markets next year. While the start of 2025 will be challenging for European assets, the latter part will offer some much-needed relief.

In the final installment of their “PIGS Have Wings” special series, our European investment strategists took a deep dive into the Spanish economy and financial assets.  Spain outperformed most developed markets since 2022, with strong gains in both…
The December Sentix Economic Index for the Euro Area missed expectations, declining to -17.5 vs. -12.8 in November. Both the current situation and expectations components declined.  As the first sentiment indicator for December, the Sentix confirms…