Europe
UK inflation came in hotter-than-anticipated in March. Headline inflation remained in double digits at 10.1% y/y, above expectations that it would recede from 10.4% y/y to 9.8% y/y. Similarly, the core index was unchanged at 6.2% y/y, disappointing consensus…
The ZEW Survey of German investor sentiment unexpectedly deteriorated in April. The sentiment index fell 8.9 points to 4.1, disappointing consensus estimates of an uptick to 15.6 and recording its second consecutive monthly decline. This move reveals that…
The top diplomats of the G7 countries – US, Japan, UK, Canada, Germany, France, Italy – plus the European Union are meeting in Karuizawa, Japan on April 16-18. The summits are going forward despite Japan’s recent domestic security concerns stemming from a…
The reason why the EU will try to balance economic ties with China along with defense ties with the US for as long as possible is not strictly economic. Europe and the US are much more reliant on China than Taiwan for trade, but that has not prevented the US…
We Introduce our new macro models for the Eurozone’s equity earnings, which include sectoral forecasts. Find out what they predict for the next six-to-nine months.
On the surface, the Eurozone Sentix sent a positive signal about investor confidence. The headline index rose from -11.1 to -8.7, beating expectations of a more muted improvement to -10.1. However, a five-point rise in the Current Climate series – which…
Euro Area stocks have gained 41.4% in USD terms since their late-September bottom. In the process, they have outperformed their US counterparts by 29%. After a brief period of weakness during the early-March bank turmoil, Eurozone equities are once again…
According to BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service European core CPI inflation is near its peak. Even the recent surge in food inflation is near its end. European food inflation is elevated and is contributing an increasingly large share of…
European inflation has further downside and core CPI will soon begin to fall too. However, European growth will remain soggy in Q2. What does this environment mean for investors?
BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service concludes that the increase in the cost of capital caused by the recent period of stress in global banks will hurt European growth. The European stock market is at risk. The tightening in global credit…