Executive Summary Italy’s right-wing alliance, led by Brothers of Italy, will likely outperform in the upcoming election. The new government will prioritize the economy, posing a risk to the EU’s united front…
Executive Summary EU Will Prioritize Natgas Storage Russia’s reduction in natural gas flows through the Nord Stream 1 (NS1) pipeline to 20% of capacity will test the EU’s ability to keep the lights on…
The Global Investment Strategy service tactically downgraded equities in February but then upgraded them in May. The decision to upgrade equities to overweight in May was clearly premature, as stocks fell significantly in June. However…
The German Ifo Business Climate Index fell to a 23-month low of 88.6 in July from 92.2, against expectations of a milder deterioration. The current assessment and expectations sub-indices both fell by 1.7 and 5.2 points,…
BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service concludes that BTPs have become attractive for long-term rather than short-term investors. The differences between the neutral rates across the Eurozone are the key…
The ECB is in somewhat of a pickle. Prices are surging, which has prompted the central bank to start its rate hike cycle with a bang on Thursday – raising rates by an outsized 50bps. However, these price pressures…
On Friday, Russia and Ukraine signed UN-backed agreements in Turkey that will enable Ukraine to restart exports of grains that have been blocked by Russian forces in Black Sea ports since the start of the conflict earlier this…
Listen to a short summary of this report. Executive Summary The odds of a recession in the US are lower than widely perceived. The probability of a recession is higher in Europe, although this week’s partial…