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Special Report Prefer government bonds over stocks, defensive sectors over cyclicals, and large caps over small caps. Favor North America over other markets. Favor emerging markets like Southeast Asia and Latin America over Greater China, Turkey,…
Special Report In this report, we discuss our most important investment themes for global fixed income markets in 2023, and present our main investment recommendations based on those themes. Our broad conclusion: an environment of slowing global…
In this Strategy Outlook, we present the major investment themes and views we see playing out next year and beyond.
Special Report For the first time in decades, the Fed is raising rates while the US Leading Economic Indicator has fallen into contractionary territory and the global manufacturing PMI’s new orders sub-index has dropped below 50. Hence, the outlook…
The pandemic gave older Americans and Brits a massive carrot and stick to retire early. The carrot being a surge in wealth, the stick being a risk to health. In other major economies, the carrots and sticks were smaller or non-…
  BCA Research’s US Bond Strategy service recommends that investors enter 2023 with close to benchmark portfolio duration and with an underweight allocation to spread product versus Treasuries. While 2022 was a year of…
This week we present our Portfolio Allocation Summary for December 2022.
European inflation will decline through 2023, which will greatly help households and consumption. But can European inflation remain low after that?
  Emerging Markets equities and bonds have staged an impressive rally. The MSCI Emerging Markets index and the JPM GBI EM Global Diversified Composite Total Return index advanced by 15% and 7%, respectively, in November in US…
Recession is not yet fully priced in, so markets have further to fall next year. But watch for a buying opportunity in the second half.