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The lack of inflation makes a Fed rate hike before December unlikely. In the interim, the continued flow of liquidity could sustain the high-risk rally.
Special Report Xi Jinping has not overthrown China's consensual leadership model; The Communist Party is highly vulnerable to the emerging middle class; Factional struggles will re-emerge before the 2017 Party Congress; Economic structural reform…
Special Report The populist backlash, if left unchecked, could spiral out of control, leading to severe losses for investors. Concerns about lax financial regulation, rising inequality, unfettered globalization, and fiscal austerity are…
Special Report In lieu of our regular report, we are publishing a Special Report titled "Five Myths About Chinese Politics" authored by our Geopolitical Strategy team, offering insight on the Chinese leadership and the political situation.
With 88 days to go until the U.S. presidential election our client meetings are starting to steer towards "all Trump, all the time." In this report we present evidence that Trump's electability is correlated with the chief global…
Special Report With 88 days to go until the U.S. presidential election our client meetings are starting to steer towards "all Trump, all the time." In this report we present evidence that Trump's electability is correlated with the chief global…
Special Report This week's Special Report written by Geopolitical Strategy's Managing Editor Marko Papic discusses the "bull market" in terrorism and the limited impact on risk assets from terrorist attacks. The rise in attacks will not necessarily…
The recent rally in risk assets is walking a very fine line. If the Fed turns more hawkish, or U.S. growth slows, it could fall over.
A collection of 10 important charts to monitor closely through the summer months.
The 35-year bond bull market is coming to an end and the downward sloping trend channel for yields is changing to flat. Asset allocators should trim duration and fixed income exposure.