Our Geopolitical strategists recommend underweighting Turkish assets. Erdogan’s weakening rule, rising social unrest, and eroding governance are deepening Turkey’s macro deterioration. Inflation will stay sticky as odds of new…
Indian equities remain resilient despite rising India-Pakistan tensions, but BCA’s EM strategists stay underweight India while favoring local-currency bonds. The latest flare-up follows Indian retaliation to last month’s terrorist…
The Carney-Trump summit signals an early shift toward trade de-escalation, creating a tactical tailwind for risk assets. President Trump referred to the Canada-US relationship as a “wonderful marriage.” Moreover, both leaders…
Negotiations on trade, Iran, and Ukraine will prove critical this month. Markets will remain volatile because positive data surprises enable the White House to press its hawkish tariff hikes, while negative surprises force the White…
Our Private Markets & Alternatives strategists recommend shifting exposure within Port Infrastructure to India as re-globalization reshapes trade flows. The US will remain a trade leader, but tensions with China and the…
The US will continue to lead global trade, but the past winners from China-US tensions face decline. Reglobalization is underway. India Port Infrastructure will be a long-term winner.
Our EM strategists recommend upgrading CE3 assets within EM portfolios, as a structural shift in the global currency regime is underway. They expect the greenback to depreciate against the euro amid a global downturn, supporting…