Tensions between Russia and the West appear to be escalating. On Wednesday, US President Joe Biden stated that he believes that Russia “will move in” on Ukraine, suggesting that a partial re-invasion is likely. Biden…
Diplomatic efforts to defuse tensions over Ukraine failed last week. The US did not give in to Russian demands that Washington provides assurance that Ukraine does not join NATO and halts defense cooperation with Ukraine. High-…
BCA Research’s US Political Strategy service highlights its three key views for this year. 1. From Single-Party Rule To Gridlock: Republicans are highly likely to win back control of the House of…
Highlights This week we highlight key charts for US Political Strategy themes and views in the New Year. For H1 2022, we maintain a pro-cyclical, risk-on approach. We favor industrials, energy, infrastructure, and cyclicals. Foreign…
US and Russian officials are in the midst of critical high-level negotiations aimed at defusing tensions over Ukraine. Talks on Monday between Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov and Deputy US Secretary of State Wendy…
Highlights In this week’s report we update our Chart Pack, updating familiar charts that underscore our strategic themes and cyclical/tactical views. Social unrest in Kazakhstan points to two of our strategic themes: great power…
Dear Client, Thank you for your continued readership and support this year. This is the last European Investment Strategy report for 2021. In this piece, we review ten charts covering important aspects of the European economy and…
Highlights Our three strategic themes over the long run: (1) great power rivalry (2) hypo-globalization (3) populism and nationalism. The implications are inflationary over the long run. Nations that gear up for potential conflict and…
Highlights A partial reinvasion of Ukraine cannot be ruled out. The constraints on Russia are not prohibitive, especially amid global energy shortages. On this issue, it is better to be alarmist than complacent. We would put the risk…
BCA Research’s European Investment Strategy service concludes that despite the ongoing recovery, the European economy will face significant headwinds in the first half of the year. China’s economic travail…