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Highlights The cyclical rally in stocks is not over, but the S&P 500 will churn between 2800 and 3200 this summer. Supportive policy, robust household balance sheets and budding economic growth have put a floor under global…
Despite the strong rally in stocks since mid-March and a looming second wave of the pandemic, we continue to recommend that investors overweight equities on a 12-month horizon. Needless to say, this view has raised some eyebrows. With…
Special Report Highlights Our net assessment of India is bullish over the long run, but this year is full of risks. Prime Minister Modi will struggle to reboot the economy and maintain social stability in his second term. If unemployment, social…
Highlights When retail investors invest aggressively and central banks buy assets en masse, economic fundamentals take the back seat and momentum becomes king. Global risk assets are at a fork in the road: either they will relapse…
Highlights China and India periodically fight each other on their fuzzy Himalayan border with zero market consequences. A major conflict is possible in the current environment – but it would present a buying opportunity.…
Special Report Highlights Our recalibrated model suggests that, if President Trump places a 25% tariff on all Chinese goods exports to the US, then the RMB should fall by 4% against the dollar from its current value. The RMB has been trending below…
Dear client, It was my pleasure to join Dhaval Joshi, BCA’s Chief European Investment Strategist, this past Friday June 12, 2020 on a webcast he hosted titled: “Sectors To Own, And Sectors To Avoid In The Post-Covid World…
According to BCA Research's China Investment Strategy service, odds are rising that President Trump will become significantly more hawkish on China, which adds a significant geopolitical hurdle to the recent market rally. President…
Special Report Highlights The economic and health crises since Q1 2020 have accelerated the breakdown in the US-China relationship. Although the US is in a much weaker economic position this year than in 2019, President Trump may have fewer…
Dear client, Along with an abbreviated report this week we are sending you this Geopolitical Strategy service report written by my colleague Matt Gertken, BCA’s Geopolitical Strategist. Matt argues that US social unrest is…