Gold seems to be leading global share prices. Gold prices have rolled over since March 10. Hence, odds are that the U.S. dollar is about to bottom, and that global and EM stocks, as well as commodities prices, are about to relapse.…

While the post-GFC linkage between oil prices and medium-term inflation expectations evident in the 5-year/5-year (5y5y) CPI swaps market will continue to be debated for years to come, this is an empirical fact that will affect…

Lower oil prices are aggravating financial and social stress in poorer OPEC states, particularly in Venezuela, where the government recently executed a gold-for-cash swap ahead of looming debt payments.

The Fed's decision to scale back intended interest rate hikes reflects economic reality.

The allure of gold equities has risen another notch following this week's dovish shift at the FOMC. After raising interest rates only a few months ago in the face of tight financial conditions, the Fed has backed down, acknowledging…

The wide WTI - Brent differentials at the front of these respective curves will continue to incentivize crude-oil exports from the U.S. to European refiners, who tend to favor the light-sweet crude coming out of LTO plays.

Gold and gold stocks have bounced nicely in recent weeks. But from a multiyear perspective, both remain extremely depressed (top panel). While gold has had several false starts in recent years, a number of factors suggest that the…

As confidence in the sustainability of corporate sector profitability declines, the multiple accorded to equities should recede. Ten reasons to stay underweight the tech sector. Initiate an overweight position in gold shares.

The relief rally is not over, and could benefit from commodity and currency market movements. Oil prices likely are banging out a bottom. In general, however, a healthy dose of caution is warranted. Our bias is to sell into, rather…

A stunning 9.9 million-barrel build in U.S. oil inventories this week failed to arrest the upward climb in prices.