Executive Summary EU Embargoes Russian Oil  The EU imposed an embargo on 90% of Russian oil imports, which will provoke retaliation. Russia will squeeze Europe’s economy ahead of critical negotiations over the coming 6-…

Special Report

Executive Summary Chart 1Quant Model Prediction Vs. Past Outcomes  Complementing the US Political Strategy Quantitative Presidential And Senate Election Models, we introduce our Quantitative House Of Representatives Election…

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Executive Summary Indian Voter’s Economic Miseries Are Ascendant  India has a strong strategic geopolitical position but is likely to face turbulence in the short term. This is because India remains expensive, and investors…

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Executive Summary Favor ASEAN And The Philippines  Southeast Asia is suffering from fading macro and geopolitical tailwinds but there are still investment opportunities on a relative basis. The peace dividend, globalization…

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Executive Summary Biden’s Support Among Women  Investors should assume that the Supreme Court will overturn Roe v. Wade even though the odds are probably overrated. A mere modification of Roe will not have any significant…

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Executive Summary The US Still Dominates Economic Output  While the Ukraine war has been positive for the greenback, there is a slow tectonic shift away from the dollar as China rethinks holding concentrated foreign currency…

Executive Summary German GeoRisk Indicator  Russia and Germany have begun cutting off each other’s energy in a major escalation of strategic tensions. The odds of Finland and Sweden joining NATO have shot up. A halt…

Listen to a short summary of this report.     Dear Client, In lieu of our weekly report next week, I will be hosting a webcast on Tuesday with my colleague Mathieu Savary, Chief European Strategist, on the implications of…

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Executive Summary The Declining Value Of An Old Friendship  India may buy cheap oil from Russia, but oil alone cannot expand this partnership. India needs to maintain a balance of power against China and Pakistan. With…

Special Report

Executive Summary Semi Shipments-To-Inventory Ratios Are Falling In Korea And Taiwan   Global semiconductor stock prices are vulnerable to the downside over the next three to six months. The global semiconductor industry…