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Japan

November flash PMIs confirmed sluggish global momentum, reinforcing a defensive stance with tactical support for the USD. The US composite PMI rose to 54.8, driven by stronger services but weaker manufacturing. The Euro area showed a similar pattern, with…
A third Japanese intervention to support the yen may be near, creating a tactical FX opportunity. Since 2022, Japan’s Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan have stepped into currency markets twice to curb yen weakness, first in late 2022 when USD/JPY…
Japan’s Q3 GDP beat expectations but still contracted, highlighting weak overall growth amid improving momentum. Output fell 1.8% annualized, though capex expanded and consumption stabilized. The decline was largely due to weaker net exports and lower…
Japan’s October Eco Watchers Survey and machine tool orders both beat expectations, confirming improving growth momentum amid strong inflation. The current conditions component rose to 49.1 from 47.1, while expectations jumped to 53.1 from 48.5, moving above…

Markets are increasingly pricing an end to the global easing cycle, with many central banks expected to remain on hold. But uncertainty remains high, and policy surprises are likely going into 2026. This Strategy Report breaks down the current drivers behind G10 central bank policies, and how to position for the next moves across FX and fixed income.

The October Tokyo CPI surprised to the upside, keeping pressure on the BoJ to resume rate hikes despite political pressures. Headline inflation rose to 2.8% from 2.5%, with both CPI ex-fresh food and “core core” (ex-fresh food and energy) also accelerating.…

Markets are increasingly pricing an end to the global easing cycle, with many central banks expected to remain on hold. But uncertainty remains high, and policy surprises are likely going into 2026. This Strategy Report breaks down the current drivers behind G10 central bank policies, and how to position for the next moves across FX and fixed income.

Japan's first woman prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, will underperform on economic stimulus but outperform on defense spending and strategic diplomacy. Stay long Japanese yen.

This week, our screeners explore ways to play a long-term bullish metals view, sub-sector REITS opportunities as well as Japanese Value stocks. 

A world of political churn favors safe havens — buy yen, stay overweight US stocks, and avoid chasing the fragile rally in China.