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Risk assets are stuck in a range driven by the Fed feedback loop. But the current rally may continue for another quarter or two.
Special Report There is little evidence suggesting that declining productivity growth in recent years has resulted from measurement error. Businesses have plucked many of the low-hanging fruits made possible by the IT revolution, while cyclical…
The British pound may be prone to further weakness in the coming months as the odds of a Brexit rise.
While the FOMC was more dovish than expected, rising inflation may cause the Fed to escalate hawkish rhetoric. The bounce in oil should help high-beta stocks. Underweight U.S. equities versus Europe, Japan and H-shares. We estimate U…
A surprisingly dovish outcome from this week's FOMC meeting has led to broad-based weakness in the U.S. dollar. The monetary policy divergence supporting the dollar may have peaked.
Similar to the euro area, Japanese consumer discretionary stocks have a long runway ahead. Japan is the latest country to join the NIRP club following the late-January BOJ surprise move to charge deposit-taking institutions a negative…
Special Report This Special Report reviews all of our active recommendations, including our over/underweight country and asset allocation positions, as well as our current tactical trades.
The euro stopped weakening in March 2015, which coincided with the ECB starting its asset purchases. Since then, the ECB's incremental policies have been unable to push the euro lower. The price action speaks to the resilience of the…
In recent travel, our clients remain focused on downside risks to today's range-bound markets. And for good reason. Uncertainty regarding Chinese reaction function is the biggest source of political risk in today's markets. We…
Over the coming two weeks, the G3 central banks will be holding key policy meetings that could prove instrumental in setting major FX trends for the next several months. What can currency traders expect?