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U.S. dollar softness may be sparking a subtle shift in sub-surface dynamics, to the benefit of select deep cyclical industries. Switch from rails into electrical equipment, and take profits in data processing.
Special Report A rebalancing of oil supply and demand will lead to higher crude prices later this year. The Canadian dollar and Norwegian krone will benefit, but it is still too soon to buy these currencies versus the U.S. dollar. For now, we…
Plunging commodities have been driven by increased supply and falling investor demand, not a major downshift in physical demand. Stay neutral global equities. The earnings outlook remains uninspiring, but bottoming oil prices and…
Special Report Rebalancing in the oil market later this year will arrest the negative feed-back loop driving markets' inflation, interest-rate and FX expectations, particularly for non-OPEC oil-exporting countries.
Special Report This week we are publishing a new thematic chartpack The BCA China Industry Watch in an effort to monitor the growth profiles, balance sheet strength and stock market performances of major Chinese industrial sectors.
With global bond yields converging toward the lower levels of the NIRP countries, it still makes sense to favor markets with higher nominal and real yields and steeper curves, like U.S. Treasuries (especially U.S. TIPS) and U.K.…
Economic disappointment represents a serious obstacle for stocks. Stay with non-cyclical plays, including telecom services and health care. Upgrade the managed care group, and stay clear of banks, regardless of cheap valuations.
The BoJ's latest rate cut will not have much impact on the Japanese economy or currency. The BoJ and ECB are closer to the end rather than the beginning of their unconventional policies. The biggest policy event of the year will be a…
Oil markets will continue to be buffeted by Russian overtures to OPEC suggesting a desire to orchestrate a production cut-back, while uncertainty over the Fed's next move keeps markets on edge.
An improvement in the euro area credit impulse is encouraging, but we explain why it is not enough to sustainably boost risk-assets.