The declining correlation between risk assets and Treasury yields suggests that the market perceives monetary policy to be overly restrictive. Historically, this has led the FOMC to adopt a more dovish policy stance.

With inflation expectations declining alongside asset prices in almost every major economy, central banks can at least not make things worse by being more hawkish than necessary.

An oversold bounce may be getting underway, but without a policy assist, it would be a rally to sell. Go to neutral in the growth vs. value trade and beware sub-surface weakness in the consumer discretionary sector.

Special Report

Taiwan's opposition Democratic Progressive Party is poised to win the presidency and possibly the legislature in elections January 16. The result will be icier cross-strait relations in the coming years that will add a geopolitical…

Special Report

We are proud to announce the launch of our Equity Trading Strategy (ETS) service. This new service ranks every publicly-listed stock in the U.S. according to a sophisticated model that combines over 30 stock market anomalies - all…