Highlights Chart 1Tracking Nonfarm Payrolls With 12-month PCE inflation already above the Fed’s 2% target, it is progress toward the Fed’s “maximum employment” goal that will determine both the timing…
BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange Strategy and European Investment Strategy services conclude that the global environment and Norway’s continued economic strength will create potent tailwind for the Norwegian krone over…
BCA Research’s Emerging Markets Strategy service concludes that the Czech koruna will outperform the Hungarian forint. Conditions for central bank rate hike cycles are in place in Hungary and the Czech Republic. Yet…
European bond markets have calmed down after a rough couple of months that saw the benchmark 10-year German bund yield rise from a low of -0.39% on March 25 to a high of -0.11% on May 19. Yields on riskier European debt saw even…
President Erdogan is once again injecting himself into the Turkish monetary policy. In an interview on Tuesday, the president stated “it’s an imperative that we lower interest rates. For that, we will reach July and…
BCA Research’s Global Fixed Income Strategy and US Bond Strategy services conclude that investors should maintain below-benchmark portfolio duration in US fixed income portfolios. According to their anticipated…
Consumer prices accelerated in the Euro Area in May. The headline consumer price index rose to 2.0% y/y from 1.6% y/y in April. Although the May figure is above the ECB’s target “of below 2%”, the central bank…
Highlights President Biden has called for the US intelligence community to investigate the origins of COVID-19 and one of Biden’s top diplomats has stated the obvious: the era of “engagement” with China is over. This…