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Monetary

What Lies Behind Spain's Resilience?
According to BCA Research’s Geopolitical Strategy and European Investment Strategy services, Spain’s economy is outperforming that of the Eurozone thanks to lower inflation and exploding tourism activity. These trends will not be affected by the results of…
Daily Insights
US Leading Indicators Still Warn Of Recession
Investors have become increasingly more optimistic about the economic outlook. BoA’s Global Fund Manager Survey shows the share of investors surveyed expecting the global economy to experience a soft landing over the next 12 months rose to 68% in July. That…
Daily Insights
Will Chinese Policymakers Arrest The RMB’s Depreciation?
The Chinese yuan was among the best performing currencies on Thursday after authorities implemented measures to support the yuan. Specifically, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) set its daily fixing at a stronger-than-anticipated rate and allowed more…
Daily Insights
Consistencies And Inconsistencies In The Dollar Breakdown

In this report, we evaluate the breakdown in the dollar and next moves in the DXY, based on fundamentals, historical precedents, and technical patterns over the last few years.

Foreign Exchange Strategy by Chester Ntonifor
Consistencies And Inconsistencies In The Dollar Breakdown

In this report, we evaluate the breakdown in the dollar and next moves in the DXY, based on fundamentals, historical precedents, and technical patterns over the last few years.

Foreign Exchange Strategy by Chester Ntonifor
UK Core Inflation Cools From 31-Year High
Softer-than-anticipated CPI inflation caused UK Gilts to rally and the British pound to weaken on Wednesday. Headline CPI inflation fell from 8.7% y/y to a 15-month low of 7.9% y/y in June – a greater decline than anticipations of 8.2% y/y. On a…
Daily Insights
On Breakouts And Breakdowns

In this report, we dissect which markets have broken out and which ones have not, and reflect what this entails for our global macro view. Also, we analyze how the S&P 500 has been taking its cues from a change in the inflation trend. Yet, inflation dynamics are complex, and a falling inflation rate does not mean that the inflation menace has been eliminated.

Emerging Markets Strategy by Arthur Budaghyan
On Improving US Homebuilder Confidence
Results of the NAHB survey shows US homebuilder sentiment inched further above 50 to a 13-month high of 56 in July. Its ongoing rise above 50 indicates that net sentiment is becoming increasingly favorable. That said, homebuilders pared back some optimism…
Daily Insights
Betting On A Less Hawkish BoC
Canada’s CPI release showed headline CPI inflation cooled from 3.4% y/y to 2.8% in June – below estimates calling for a less pronounced moderation to 3.0% y/y. This marks inflation’s first return to the Bank of Canada’s 1%-3% percent inflation target range…
Daily Insights
How Large Can The Eurozone / US Divergence Get?

In recent months, the European and US economies have greatly diverged, with the Euro Area massively disappointing while the US has surprised to the upside. Can this dichotomy continue or is it Europe’s turn to shine?

European Investment Strategy by Mathieu Savary

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